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Conservative Values

Justin Trudeau could face his worst nightmare in Ted Cruz

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may soon need to contemplate the possibility that, when he next meets the president of the United States, he will be facing Ted Cruz. With Cruz's victory this week in Wisconsin, Donald Trump is all but certain to fall short of the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the Republican nomination for president prior to the party's convention in Cleveland in July.

If Trump fails to win a first-ballot victory, he will then almost surely lose many of the delegates involuntarily bound to him. The once seemingly invincible Trump has been faltering, losing all of the recent state contests for delegates and, for the first time in the weekly Reuters tracking poll, is losing nationally to Cruz. If delegates are freed up, Cruz - now a mere 225 delegates behind Trump - then becomes the odds-on favourite to scoop up the remaining delegates he needs to represent the Republicans. And with Cruz and Hillary Clinton (the likely Democratic nominee) statistically tied, come November of this year Trudeau could well be confronting his worst nightmare in a President-elect Cruz.

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